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Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 29, 2014 · 9:58 AM EDT

With just weeks to go before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is coming down to a handful of states, and two of them are very familiar to the chairmen of the two Senate campaign committees.

Kansas Republican Jerry Moran and Colorado Democrat Michael Bennet are trying to avoid becoming the…

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

by Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2014 · 12:28 PM EDT

With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.

Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. And they…

A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2014 · 5:00 PM EDT

With less than six weeks to go before Election Day, the majority in the United States Senate is still firmly up for grabs. Based on President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval numbers and the friendly batch of states that are up this cycle, the Republican road to 51 seats is slightly easier to…

The Election Results Don’t Matter

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2014 · 4:59 PM EDT

What happens in this year’s midterm elections doesn’t matter. What elected officials and party strategists think happened, will carry far more weight into the next Congress and the 2016 elections.

What if Republicans win control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House?

It will…

Republicans Ready to Add to House Majority

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2014 · 4:58 PM EDT

Republicans are likely to gain seats in the House this November, we just don’t know how many quite yet.

President Barack Obama’s job approval numbers continue to decline in a midterm election when voters will likely be open to a check-and-balance argument from Republicans. And the Democratic…

2014 House Ratings (September 24, 2014)

September 24, 2014 · 4:56 PM EDT

The Amazingly Static House Playing Field

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 19, 2014 · 9:37 AM EDT

After a year of campaigning, television ads, a government shutdown, and a botched rollout of HealthCare.gov, the House playing field is virtually unchanged from where it was 12 months ago.

We recently updated the Rothenberg Political Report ratings in seven House districts. Arizona’s 1st…

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

by Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2014 · 11:19 AM EDT

There was a time, a little less than a year ago, when Democrats salivated at the thought of running against the GOP brand and demonizing Republican candidates by attacking them and their party for “shutting down the government.”

But the Republican brand has largely recovered from its low point…