I’m not certain how long a trend has to exist before it earns the status of an immutable political “law,” but three longtime truths are threatened this election cycle. Will all of them fall in November?
Trend #1: One party holds the Pennsylvania governorship for eight years and then loses the…
A disclaimer may seem like a rote few seconds in a campaign ad, but failing to follow the specific guidelines could have costly consequences for a candidate.
On Sept. 16, former Rep. Bobby Schilling, R-Ill., aired a 30-second ad titled, “How Could You?” that accused Democratic Rep. Cheri Bustos…
There is always some uncertainty as an election approaches, and that’s especially the case when dueling polls show very different snapshots of a race.
In Arkansas, for example, two September polls conducted by Hickman Analytics, Inc. for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s…
It’s no secret that Democrats have virtually no chance of taking back the House next month, but there are a handful of districts where victory could make the rest of the night easier to swallow.
Democrats have zeroed in on a quartet of competitive Republican open seats including Iowa’s 3rd…
The fight for the Senate has narrowed to a handful of states, while the fight for the House isn’t much of one at all. But the most volatility in this election cycle appears to be in the races for governor.
Republican governors in Red states such as Sam Brownback of Kansas and Nathan Deal of…
It seems like everyone wrote the story: Family political dynasties were supposed to save Mark Begich, Mark Pryor and Mary L. Landrieu, the trio of vulnerable Democratic senators running for re-election in Republican-leaning states.
But as the sports adage says, “That’s why they play the games.”…
Only three times since the Civil War, as any political junkie knows, has the president’s party gained House seats in midterm elections — in 1934, 1998 and 2002. It now seems quite clear 2014 won’t be another exception to that rule.
But a year and a half ago, that wasn’t a sure thing. In fact,…
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