Archive
What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?
October 28, 2014 · 10:56 AM EDT
Most neutral observers expect Republicans to take the Senate and make at least small gains in the House, but talk about a possible GOP political wave has all but disappeared.
However, ten days to go until Election Day, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a “wave” election just yet.
I know…
Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?
October 27, 2014 · 9:00 AM EDT
Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office.
The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been…
Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate
October 24, 2014 · 3:05 PM EDT
Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a narrow lead over GOP challenger Scott Brown. But Brown has exceeded our expectations, and he has cut Shaheen’s margin to the low single digits – even though the Republican’s unfavorable rating has been higher than his favorable rating.
Brown…
Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor
October 24, 2014 · 3:04 PM EDT
Plenty of Democrats woke up Friday morning with a case of deja vu. The latest survey for The Boston Globe showed Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley losing the race for governor of Massachusetts to Republican Charlie Baker, 45 percent to 36 percent. Once again, it’s Coakley struggling in a…
Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans
October 24, 2014 · 12:15 PM EDT
The good news for House Republicans just keeps coming as another half-dozen races shift in the GOP’s direction.
House races often get far less media attention than Senate races or gubernatorial contests, and they therefore often develop later in the cycle. With less than two weeks before the…
A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either
October 23, 2014 · 1:27 PM EDT
In his recent column, “Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year,” Stu pointed out how a handful of under-performing Senate candidates could cost Republicans the majority. Similarly, though the House of Representatives is not in play, a trio of GOP incumbents could cost their party…