A week before the election, Stu waded into the discussion about what constitutes an electoral wave. One of his main points: “I know it when I see it.” Well, we saw it on Tuesday.
While Republicans gained more House and Senate seats than the most likely pre-election projections, it was the…
This column first appeared in Roll Call on Sept. 8, 2014.
While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.
But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain.
Rothenberg…
Here is an emerging surprise of the midterm elections: Republican candidates are more popular than Democratic candidates in top Senate contests.
It’s no secret the path to victory for Democrats in the Senate was to demonize GOP candidates in the eyes of voters who are dissatisfied with…
Almost two months ago, on September 8th, I wrote that while the Rothenberg Political Report ratings projected Republican Senate gains in the five to eight seat range, I was “expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.”
“But I wouldn’t be…
The lede almost writes itself: One year ago, Jesse Ferguson never would have thought beating cancer would be easier than defeating Republicans in the House. But that’s just not how the Democratic operative does business.
As director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s…
Here are a ratings changes in a handful of competitive gubernatorial contests on the day before the election.
Arkansas Governor. After months of optimism from Democrats about their ability to re-elect Sen. Mark Pryor (D) and elect former Rep. Mike Ross (D) as governor, it’s clear that both men…
The only question in the House is the size of the Republican gains. Our range continues to be a gain of 5-12 seats for the GOP, but it’s possible that the party exceeds that.
GOP strategists are trying to tamp down expectations by saying that gains in the teens would require winning Obama…
The playing field of competitive Senate races hasn’t changed, but Republican chances to win those seats has improved in the last couple of days.
Since our latest ratings changes on Wednesday, GOP prospects have improved in Colorado and Iowa, making the path to a net gain of at least six seats,…
One of the most watched Senate races of 2014 is over. Take it off your list of states that could fall either way on Tuesday.
Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell has opened up a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes, secretary of state of the Bluegrass State, ensuring…
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