With an open presidential race and the Senate majority up for grabs, the fight for the House is certain to get pushed to the backburner. But if Democrats have hopes of being in the majority anytime in the next few years, they better start making a dent in the Republicans’ majority next year.
…Arizona
The U.S. Supreme Court will decide a redistricting case by the end of June which could put take mapmaking authority from the nonpartisan commission into the hands of the GOP-controlled Legislature. Strategists on both sides of the aisle believe Republicans could redraw the lines to gain…
Iowa
1st District (Blum, R). Freshman Rod Blum is a Democratic target in a district that Obama won with a considerable 56 percent. Cedar Rapids City Councilwoman Monica Vernon is the early Democratic frontrunner. She was endorsed by EMILY’s List last week. You can read our full analysis of the…
New Mexico
2nd District (Pearce, R). Democrats are back to taking the long view on this district. A couple years ago, strategists believed long-term growth in the Hispanic population would make Steve Pearce vulnerable. But their optimism accelerated when former Eddy County Commissioner Rocky Lara…
Florida Senate. Republican Sen. Marco Rubio is expected to announce his presidential campaign on April 13 in Miami. He has previously said that he would choose a run for the White House or re-election and not switch back. Rubio would have been a formidable incumbent but the open seat creates some…
After New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez was indicted on corruption charges Wednesday, Minority Leader Harry Reid’s reaction to his colleague’s situation wasn’t particularly surprising, but it’s not because Menendez is a fellow Democrat.
“I appreciate Senator Menendez’s willingness to temporarily…
There are plenty of reasons to believe Jeb Bush, the former two-term governor of Florida, son of a former president and brother of another former president, cannot win the 2016 Republican nomination.
The problem for those of us who report on and analyze elections dispassionately is there are also…
Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid’s retirement ensures that Nevada will host a top-tier Senate race in 2016.
Reid’s announcement doesn’t expand the map for Republicans, since the Democrat was vulnerable if he had sought re-election to a sixth term. But the open seat is likely to be an expensive…
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