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Report Shorts (March 20, 2015) Florida Senate, Maryland Senate, Michigan’s 11th, New Jersey Senate

March 20, 2015 · 2:27 PM EDT

Florida Senate. Democratic National Committee Chairwoman/Rep. Debbie Wasserman-Schultz announced on Tuesday that she will seek re-election and not run for the Senate. Former GOP Governor/2014 Democratic gubernatorial nominee Charlie Crist also announced he isn’t running for the Senate either.…

So Long, Curtis

by Stuart Rothenberg March 19, 2015 · 10:21 AM EDT

I had not spoken with Curtis Gans for the past couple of years, but his death on Sunday, at age 77, brought back a flood of memories.

Curtis and I had two things in common: We were both born in Manhattan and graduated from the Riverdale Country School, a private school in the Riverdale section of…

The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio

by Stuart Rothenberg March 18, 2015 · 9:48 AM EDT

A veritable bevy of Republican presidential hopefuls have already hired staff, wooed deep-pocketed contributors and made speeches in Iowa and New Hampshire, proving what we already know: The 2016 nomination preseason is well underway.

Fundraising, organization, the size of the field and the…

Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog

by Stuart Rothenberg March 12, 2015 · 4:58 PM EDT

Where does Illinois Republican Sen. Mark S. Kirk start in his bid for re-election? It depends on whom you ask.

The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report currently rates the 2016 race as a Tossup, while the Cook Political Report says it is a “Lean Republican” contest. The folks in the statistical…

What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2015 · 9:56 AM EDT

We won’t know the 2016 Republican presidential nominee for more than a year, but we already know the 10 states — the electoral “Big Ten” — that will select the next occupant of the White House.

Because of that, we can evaluate the GOP’s general election prospects over the next 12 to 18 months by…

Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 10, 2015 · 1:08 PM EDT

Tennessee Rep. Scott DesJarlais was an unlikely survivor in his 2014 Republican primary, but his next electoral challenge may already be on the horizon.

Grant Starrett, a young aide on both of Mitt Romney’s presidential campaigns, is contacting donors in advance of a potential run in the 4th…

Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 2:00 PM EST

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton hasn’t officially announced her campaign and we’re still many months away from knowing who Republicans will pick to be their nominee, but the presidential battleground is already coming into focus. The next commander in chief is likely to be decided by…

Why Electoral Waves Are Rarer in a Presidential Year

by Stuart Rothenberg March 6, 2015 · 1:59 PM EST

Six months before the 2014 midterm elections, Arkansas Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor looked to be in serious trouble, as did the Democratic-held Montana Senate seat. Even more troubling for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, the party’s seats in strongly red states like West Virginia and…

Mississippi 1 Special: Republicans Avoid ‘08 Redo

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:58 PM EST

Democrats pulled off a special election upset in a conservative Mississippi district back in 2008, but can they do it again?

Seven years ago, moderate Democrat Travis Childers took advantage of a divided Republican Party and some unique timing to take over the seat vacated by GOP Rep. Roger…

Maryland Senate: Democrats Jockey for Mikulski’s Seat

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 6, 2015 · 1:57 PM EST

Five-term Sen. Barbara Mikulski announced her retirement on Monday giving ambitious Maryland Democrats an open seat opportunity. But it remains to be seen how many candidates will take the plunge. 

Mikulski, who served in Congress longer than any other woman, had been raising money but was never…