Archive

Montana Senate: A Real Race or Simply Manufactured Buzz?

by Stuart Rothenberg July 24, 2014 · 1:59 PM EDT

Maybe you believe in coincidences. I usually do — but not four months from an election.

Almost simultaneously, two different memos appeared from Democratic pollsters insisting the Montana Senate race has closed and the outcome of the contest is very much in doubt.

One memo, by North…

‘Simple’ Doesn’t Equal ‘Easy’ in N.H. Senate Race

by Stuart Rothenberg July 23, 2014 · 12:11 PM EDT

Having written about House and Senate races for the past 30 years, I’ve seen plenty of press releases, polling memos and campaign strategy emails. But rarely have I received anything as silly as a July 9 press release from New Hampshire Republican Senate hopeful Scott P. Brown’s campaign, which…

GOP Can’t Catch a Break in Congressional Baseball Recruitment

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 22, 2014 · 10:23 AM EDT

Phil Berger Jr.’s loss in last week's Republican runoff in North Carolina’s 6th District was about more than an establishment favorite getting knocked off by an anti-establishment challenger.

He could have been a key player for Republicans in future Roll Call Congressional Baseball Games.

‘Would You Rather?’ House Race Edition

by Nathan L. Gonzales July 21, 2014 · 9:40 AM EDT

In the game “Would You Rather?” one is usually faced with a choice between two difficult and undesirable options.

“If you had a machete, would you rather amputate the feet of two friends or amputate one of your own feet?” asks the site YouRather.com. Or, “Would you rather spend a day with…

Fight for the House About 2016, not 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg July 18, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

With the 2014 midterm elections less than four months away, the fight for Congress is all about the Senate. On the other hand, the battle for the House of Representatives is about positioning for 2016 rather than about which party will control the chamber next year.

National poll numbers…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Alabama - Indiana

July 18, 2014 · 3:59 PM EDT

Alabama (6 Republicans, 1 Democrat).
AL 6 (Open; Bachus, R). Former Alabama Policy Institute president Gary Palmer defeated state Rep. Paul DeMarco 64 percent to 36 percent. DeMarco finished first in the initial primary with 33 percent. Palmer will be a Member of Congress next year.

Alaska…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Iowa - Oklahoma

July 18, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

Iowa (2R, 2D).
IA 1 (Open; Braley, D). Former state House Speaker Pat Murphy (D) faces GOP businessman Rod Blum in the fall election, but Murphy starts off with the clear advantage. Republican prospects seem less than bright.
IA 3 (Open; Latham, R). Democrats (and EMILY’s List) are enthusiastic…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Oregon - Wyoming

July 18, 2014 · 3:57 PM EDT

Oregon (1R, 4D).
OR 5 (Schrader, D). Kurt Schrader underperformed in 2012 against an underfunded challenger. That’s the only reason why this seat is mentioned at this point. Clackamas County Commissioner Tootie Smith (R) barely had enough money to buy a couple nice televisions, let alone pay for…