The Republican majority was at risk before Tuesday’s primaries and it’s vulnerable after the primaries. But a fresh crop of results in eight states narrows the crowded fields of candidates. Some results are not official, but this is where things are most likely headed.
Governor. Gov. Kay Ivey…
A handful of Republican House incumbents represent districts that, on the surface, should be firmly in the Democratic column. But despite a series of factors that have created difficult bids for re-election—including redistricting decisions that unfavorably altered the partisanship of the constituency, demographic change that has translated into more Democratic…
Illinois 13th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: May 11, 2018
Date of Birth: June 21, 1971; Springfield, Illinois
Education: Univ. of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (1993)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Londrigan, former director of alumni affairs at Univ. of Illinois-Springfield, small business woman and a…
Michigan’s 7th District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: May 10, 2018
Date of Birth: Oct. 1, 1958; New York, N.Y.
Education: Lynchburg College (1980); George Washington University (MBA 1987)
Elected Office: Saline City Council (former, 1993-1999); Saline Mayor (former, 1999-2012); state House (former, 2013-16); 2016 7th District nominee
Current…
North Carolina’s 13th District — Rating: Likely R
Interview Date: March 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 3, 1956; Detroit, Mi.
Education: Harvard (1978); Univ. of Michigan Law School (1981)
Elected Office: None; first run for office
Current Outlook: President Donald Trump received 53 percent in this North Carolina district,…
Utah Senate — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: May 2, 2018
Date of Birth: Feb. 2, 1969; Lansing, Mich.
Education: BYU (1994); Michigan State medical school (1998); BYU Law School (2007)
Elected Office: State Rep. (2012-present)
Current Outlook: It’s going to be difficult for anyone other than Mitt Romney to…
Ohio’s 1st District — Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: May 9, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 9, 1982; Beaver Creek, Ohio
Education: Ohio State Univ. (2005); Univ. of Cincinnati law school (2008)
Elected Office: Hamilton County Clerk of Courts (2016)
Current Outlook: Democrats believe Hamilton County Clerk of Courts Pureval…
New Jersey’s 7th District — Rating: Tilt Republican
Interview Date: May 9, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 23,1965; Poland
Education: UC-Berkeley (1988); Oxford Univ. (Rhodes Scholar, Master’s 1991)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Leonard Lance ($850,000 in the bank on March 31) is a…
I don’t trust anyone who tells me they already know the makeup of the midterm electorate. We can’t possibly know who will vote in the fall, let alone how they will cast their ballots.
If I were going to focus on a handful of variables to understand how the cycle…
Nancy Pelosi is a drug that Republicans just can’t quit, and the GOP hopes that the threat of her becoming speaker of the House again will awaken any potentially apathetic base voters. While that might work for Republicans for yet another cycle, it might be the last cycle with their…
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