Are we still headed for a Democratic wave in the House next month? That all depends on how you define a wave. But one thing is clear: Democrats are still likely to flip the chamber even after all the buzz about a post-Kavanaugh Republican bounce.
A wave occurs when a…
Declaring 2018 anything but the Year of the Woman is heresy by now. It’s consistently, casually mentioned as a matter of fact. This year‘s regarded as a natural succession to 1992, which was the last time an election resulted in the number of women in the House…
Weather metaphors are often used (and overused) in election analysis, but there’s a better way to describe the Republicans’ challenge in 2018. The GOP is dealing with many headaches as it tries to preserve the Republican congressional majorities.
From tension to cluster to migraine, they can vary in frequency and…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
With less than a month before Nov. 6, the fundamentals of these midterm elections are set and broadly good news for Democrats. But with dozens of close races around the country, a shift of just a couple points across the board is the…
Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has high negatives from previous runs for office and a competitive primary, but it’s still rough going for Republican Lea Marquez Peterson to win this open seat that Hillary Clinton carried in 2016. Move…
Arizona’s 1st District -- Rating: Lean Democratic
Interview Date: Sept. 14, 2018
Date of Birth: July 24, 1954; Fort Knox, Ky.
Education: Michigan State Univ. (1976); Univ. of Alabama (M.S.W. 1977); Cal State-San Bernardino (Master’s, 1986)
Elected Office: None; 2016 1st District candidate; 2014 9th District nominee; 2012 9th District…
What will be the biggest surprise on election night?
It’s a common and valid question, but I’m always a little amused by it.
If I were able to identify a completely unexpected or astonishing event that would happen a month from now, then that event shouldn’t be considered completely unexpected…
By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
The worst time to analyze the political fallout from an event is in the middle of it. And that’s about where we are with the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation process.
The hearing and testimony from the judge and his accuser, Dr. Christine Blasey Ford,…
Arizona’s 2nd District (Open; Martha McSally, R, running for Senate). Clinton 49.6%. Former Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick has at least a narrow advantage over Republican Lea Marquez-Peterson in the race for the open seat. Republicans love their candidate and the NRCC is spending some money on the race. But this is…
Democratic Blueprint. At a press conference Sept. 18, Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, the chairman of the Democratic Governors Association, called the current cycle of gubernatorial races a “generational election” and an opportunity to rid of the “scourge of gerrymandering.” In our last gubernatorial overview, we pointed out that 26 of…
Individual & Group Subscriptions Available