House News & Analysis
North Carolina’s House elections may be receiving more attention at the moment, but the next U.S. House special election is in Pennsylvania.
On May 21, the same day as the state’s municipal elections, voters will choose someone to serve in the seat of former Republican Rep. Tom Marino.
At the…
In 2018, for the second time in his life, Republican Steve Pearce left the U.S. House to run for higher office. And for the second time, he lost his bid for higher office while a Democrat won his House open seat. In 2020, Republicans are actually hoping for another repeat:…
North Carolina is set to host two elections this year: The 3rd District special will fill the seat of late Republican Rep. Walter Jones, while the 9th District will hold a new election because of allegations of fraud in the 2018 race.
The State Board of Elections and Gov. Roy…
Last cycle, nine members left Congress to try to become governor and five ended up winning the state’s top job. But this cycle will be a different story. While 38 states elected a governor in 2017 or 2018, just 14 states will elect a governor in the next two years.…
by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam
It’s too early to project the outcome of House elections or the mood of the electorate 21 months from now. But it’s not too early to talk House races as potential candidates explore runs and incumbents decide whether to seek re-election.
At this…
Alabama. 1st District (Bradley Byrne, R, re-elected 63%). Trump 64%. The congressman is likely to challenge Democratic Sen. Doug Jones. A crowded Republican primary is almost inevitable for his open seat. Solid R.
Alaska. At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 53%). Trump 53%. The congressman, who was first elected…
Kansas. 1st District (Roger Marshall, R, re-elected 68%). Trump 69%. The congressman could run for Republican Pat Roberts’ open Senate seat, creating an open congressional seat. Former Lt. Gov. Tracey Mann could run. He finished third in the 2010 primary with 21 percent. Tim Huelskamp finished first, but Marshall defeated…
North Carolina. 2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 51%). Trump 53%. House Democrats didn’t make any inroads in North Carolina last cycle, but they didn’t have a star candidate to test their ceiling in Raleigh’s suburbs. The Democratic candidate, former state Rep. Linda Coleman, was perceived as the weaker candidate…
California’s 50th District. Alex Balkin became the second Democrat to announce a challenge to indicted GOP Rep. Duncan Hunter. 2018 nominee Ammar Campa-Najjar was the first. Balkin formerly worked at the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and Department of Defense. The district is considerably favorable to Republicans, considering Hunter was under…
Democrats didn’t win every competitive House race in Texas in 2018, but they picked up two Republican seats. And some strategists are talking about The Lone Star State being the next Orange County, Calif., where Democrats organized to pick up four seats in 2018 after decades of Republican control.
It’s…