Through all of the twists and turns of this election, I’ve been confident about one thing: record-breaking turnout. Obviously, with the spread of a pandemic, I’ve started to question my projection a bit.
I first wrote about the potential for a record-setting turnout in December 2018, and for the most…
Predicting election outcomes can be a…
With just 13 women on Capitol Hill, House Republicans don’t have any room for error if they want to boost their numbers. After this year’s initial batch of primaries, however, and looking ahead at primaries to come, Republicans are at risk of simply breaking even when it comes to their…
When now-former Rep. Mark Meadows officially resigned from Congress earlier recently, there wasn’t much shock among the Republican Party. After all, Meadows, known for leading the conservative House Freedom Caucus, had initially stated his intentions to not seek re-election, as he foresaw an increased role in the Trump Administration.
That…
Oregon’s 2nd District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: Jan. 31, 2020
Date of Birth: Nov. 6, 1970; Sacramento, Calif.
Education: Southern Oregon Univ. (1992); Willamette Univ. (MBA, MPA 1996)
Elected Office: State Senate (former); State House (former); Gubernatorial candidate (2006)
Current Outlook: Atkinson is a credible contender for the…
In 2018, the path to the Democratic House majority ran through California, where Democrats flipped seven long-time GOP districts. If Republicans want any chance of taking back control of the House, they’ll have to win at least some of them back in November.
In 2020, California will play host to…
Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: March 2, 2020
Date of Birth: March 11, 1985; Seoul, South Korea
Education: Univ. of Arizona (2006); Univ. of Miami (J.D. 2009)
Elected Office: None
Current Outlook: Song Sutton is headed toward a competitive June 9 primary against former state Assemblyman…
Unfortunately, it sounds like we’re just at the beginning of what could be a multi-week or multi-month coronavirus crisis, so handicapping the pandemic’s impact on the elections is premature. But there are at least a handful of questions that will lead us to understanding the fallout, once the situation and…
Alabama
1st District (Greater Mobile) Open; Bradley Byrne, R, ran unsuccessfully for the U.S. Senate. Mobile County Commissioner Jerry Carl and former state Sen. Bill Hightower advanced to a March 31 runoff of the GOP nomination. One of them will be a member of Congress next year. Current rating:…
By Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales
The House majority wasn’t regarded as in play, unless Democrats were to nominate Bernie Sanders for president. Now that the Vermont senator is a legitimate frontrunner, his impact from the top of the ticket on Democratic control of the House should be taken…
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