By Nathan L. Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin
Republicans are positioned to have somewhere between a good and great set of midterm elections in 2022, and either scenario should deliver the House majority to the GOP.
With historical midterm trends, redistricting and the current political environment in Republicans’ favor, and the…
Alabama. Jan. 28 filing deadline. May 24 primary. July 26 runoff (if necessary). Gov. Kay Ivey, a Republican, signed Alabama’s new map into law on Nov. 4. The new lines maintain the status quo partisan balance, with six Solid Republican seats and one Solid Democratic, majority-Black seat (Rep. Terri Sewell’s…
Kansas. Current breakdown: 3R, 1D. June 1 filing deadline. Aug. 2 primary. Kansas is still in the preliminary stages of redistricting, but the 3rd District, represented by Democrat Sharice Davids, needs to lose some population due to growth in the Kansas City suburbs. It’s not yet clear if Republicans will…
North Carolina. Current breakdown: 8R, 5D (Apportionment: +1 seat). Dec. 17, 2021 filing deadline. March 8 primary. April 26 runoff (if necessary). North Carolina’s GOP-held legislature passed a new map into law without the signature of Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper, who is powerless in the redistricting process. North Carolina Republicans…
Florida’s 20th District
Self-funding healthcare executive Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was certified as the winner of the Democratic primary to replace the late Rep. Alcee Hastings, meaning she’s the prohibitive favorite to win the special general election on Jan. 11. The result came after a recount that confirmed Cherfilus-McCormick won five…
One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan…
Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority.
After…
New Jersey’s 11th — Rating: To Be Determined After Redistricting
Interview Date: Oct. 13, 2021 (via Zoom)
Date of Birth: July 6, 1993 (Hackensack, New Jersey)
Education: Iona College (2015)
Elected Office: None. First run for office.
Current Outlook: Toomey is one of several Republicans hoping to take on two-term…
Christopher Sebastian is a Senior Analyst for Kantar/CMAG.
Early last week, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer set a new October 31st deadline for the passage of the remainder of President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better plan, composed of the administration’s proposed infrastructure policies not found in the earlier “American Rescue…
On Sept. 29, Maine became the second state to finalize its congressional districts for the next decade, capping a six-week process more notable for what it wasn’t: contentious, protracted, or extensive.
With just two districts to draw, minimal population shifts, and a redistricting scheme that encouraged compromise, the whole ordeal…
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