House News & Analysis

California 47: Orange County Open

by Jacob Rubashkin February 3, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

Once again, it could come down to the suburbs. The 2024 election cycle is just a couple of months old, yet some battlegrounds are emerging, including one in Southern California. 

Democratic Sen. Dianne Feinstein has been a fixture in California politics for more than 40 years, but most observers believe…

Washington 3: Contest in the Cascades

by Erin Covey February 3, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

Marie Gluesenkamp Perez wasn’t supposed to win. The 34-year-old auto-shop owner launched her 2022 campaign in a district that Republican Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler had represented for over a decade, and that Donald Trump won by 4 points in 2020. 

The Democratic congresswoman is now one of the most vulnerable…

West Virginia 2: More Moore?

by Jacob Rubashkin February 3, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

When Republican Rep. Alex Mooney announced his long-expected 2024 Senate campaign just a week after the 2022 midterms, he kicked off a marquee Senate race that could determine control of that chamber.

But he also leaves an open seat in West Virginia’s 2nd Congressional district for the first time under…

Report Shorts (February 3, 2023)

by Erin Covey February 3, 2023 · 2:27 PM EST

Arizona Senate. After publicly flirting with challenging Sen. Kyrsten Sinema for months, Rep. Ruben Gallego has officially announced his campaign. Now that Sinema has become an independent, he has a clear path to the Democratic nomination. But if Sinema decides to run for re-election, he’ll have a more difficult task…

Arizona 3: Phoenix Democrats Rising

by Erin Covey January 26, 2023 · 2:00 PM EST

Rep. Ruben Gallego’s Senate ambitions have been clear for a while. But now that the Democratic congressman has officially announced his campaign to challenge independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, Arizona Democrats hoping to succeed him in Congress have begun laying the groundwork for their own 2024 campaigns.

Arizona’s 3rd District, which…

Report Shorts (January 20, 2023)

January 20, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Arizona
Senate. Two recent polls suggest that independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema has a tough road to re-election if she runs for a second term. A Dec. 19-20 Public Policy Polling survey commissioned by Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego found Sinema in third place with 13 percent, behind 2022 GOP gubernatorial…

Illinois 4 Special: The Potential Race to Replace Chuy GarcĂ­a

by Erin Covey January 17, 2023 · 2:45 PM EST

The upcoming Chicago mayoral race has drawn a crowded field of candidates hoping to unseat Mayor Lori Lightfoot. Chief among her challengers is Democratic Rep. Chuy García, a progressive congressman from the southwest side of Chicago. If he wins, it’ll put another congressional special election on the docket.

This is…

Electoral Considerations of the 21 McCarthy Holdouts

by Jacob Rubashkin January 12, 2023 · 10:05 AM EST

At the start of the new Congress, House GOP leader Kevin McCarthy limped to the speakership in a post-midnight vote that followed four days of stalemate and a final half-hour of chaos on the floor of the House of Representatives.

McCarthy always had the support of an overwhelming majority of…

Breaking Down the Demographics of the 118th Congress

by Erin Covey January 11, 2023 · 11:59 AM EST

Slowly but surely, the U.S. Congress has begun to better reflect the nation.

But even as the House and the Senate have gradually become more diverse, the rate at which that happens has appeared to decline. The number of women and nonwhite members in the 118th Congress has only marginally…

Report Shorts (January 6, 2023)

January 6, 2023 · 2:26 PM EST

New York’s 3rd District. GOP Rep. George Santos hasn’t settled into office yet, and he’s already been met with significant questions about fabricating his personal background and professional resume. The end result could be a short tenure and future open seat. 

Even some of Santos’ future colleagues are already openly…