House News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 13: New York 3 Special, Iowa Caucus w/ Marianne LeVine

January 5, 2024 · 9:17 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Marianne LeVine of the Washington Post discuss the special election to replace George Santos in New York’s 3rd District and the upcoming Republican caucuses in Iowa, with a side of movie reviews. 

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or Pocket Casts…

New Year, New House Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 3, 2024 · 4:39 PM EST

Sometimes overshadowed by the fights for the White House and Senate, the House majority is on the line in 2024 as well. With Republicans defending a narrow majority, changes in individual races can have a considerable impact on the fight for control. 

Looking at the races individually shows Republicans still…

Podcast Episode 12: Baseline, Evenly-Divided Districts, Memorable Holiday Gifts

December 21, 2023 · 11:01 AM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Bradley Wascher discuss Inside Elections’ Baseline metric, which measures the partisan performance of every district and every state. They also dive into some of the most evenly-divided districts in the country and talk about their favorite holiday gift memories.

Listen to the podcast…

2024 House Overview: New York, New Majority?

December 15, 2023 · 2:30 PM EST

By Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Erin Covey

Start spreading the news: New York is about to be the epicenter of the fight for the House, with a special election competing with the Republican presidential race for center stage early next year.

The Long Island-based 3rd District is vacant…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Alabama - Iowa

by Jacob Rubashkin December 15, 2023 · 2:29 PM EST

Alabama. Primary March 5. Runoff April 2.
1st District (Southern Alabama) Jerry Carl, R, re-elected 84%. Trump 75%.
Court-ordered redistricting has given Alabama two congressional districts where Black voters will have the opportunity to elect a representative of their choice in 2024. Rather than run in the now Democratic-leaning…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): Kansas - New York

December 15, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Kansas. Filing deadline June 3. Primary Aug. 6.
3rd District (Kansas City suburbs) Sharice Davids, D, re-elected 55%. Biden 51%. Oncologist Prasanth Reddy got another stamp of establishment approval when Speaker Mike Johnson included the former LabCorp executive and Air Force Reserve officer in his joint fundraising committee. He’ll…

2024 House Overview (Dec. 15, 2023): North Carolina - Wisconsin

December 15, 2023 · 2:27 PM EST

North Carolina. Primary March 5. Runoff May 14.
1st District (Inland northeastern North Carolina) Don Davis, D, elected 52%. Biden 50.4%. North Carolina’s Republican-controlled legislature has transformed the state’s congressional map, allowing Republicans to easily flip three Democratic-held seats and leaving just one competitive seat: the 1st. The new…

How to Measure the Partisanship of Every House Seat

by Bradley Wascher December 8, 2023 · 11:30 AM EST

What are the most evenly-divided House districts in the country? It’s not as easy as just looking at the past presidential results, considering down ballot races can have their own unique circumstances. That’s why Inside Elections created a metric to measure partisanship in each district.

Inside Elections’ Baseline captures a…

New York 3: Santos Expulsion Triggers Special Election

by Jacob Rubashkin December 7, 2023 · 6:00 PM EST

Embattled New York Republican George Santos was expelled from the House of Representatives last Friday in a 311-114 vote. The congressman’s ousting came just less than a year after reports first broke of Santos’ serial fabrications about his background; he is also facing federal campaign finance charges and was the…

Podcast Episode 11: Santos Special Election, Nepo Babies Running in the House, GOP Presidential

December 7, 2023 · 2:28 PM EST

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the upcoming special election in New York’s 3rd District after George Santos was expelled, talk about a the crop of Nepo Baby candidates running for the House with family connections, and look ahead to the GOP presidential primary with the Iowa caucuses…