House News & Analysis

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

by Stuart Rothenberg February 5, 2014 · 3:57 PM EST

Politics is often about keeping one eye on today and another eye on tomorrow. That’s especially true for Democrats, who should not be completely disheartened about their party’s prospects.

November certainly looks like a challenging election for supporters of President Barack Obama — given the president’s anemic job…

California House Districts: Still Adjusting to New Landscape

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 3:00 PM EST

For decades, California was a wasteland of non-competitive congressional races. But with a non-partisan redistricting commission and a top two primary system, suddenly there are over a dozen races worth watching in the Golden State.

A handful of districts are noteworthy because they are legitimately competitive and makeup…

Kansas 2 & 4: Primary Motivation

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:57 PM EST

Republicans don’t have a lot of women in Congress, so when one of them is challenged, the stakes are a bit higher.

At last weekend’s state Republican convention in Kansas, Rep. Lynn Jenkins drew a primary challenger. As vice chairwoman of the Republican Conference, she is the fifth…

Report Shorts (January 31, 2014) - Florida 13, Idaho 1, Montana At-Large, Oklahoma Senate

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 2:56 PM EST

Florida’s 13th District. The special election to replace the late Bill Young is heating up in this St. Petersburg-area seat. Republicans nominated lobbyist and former Young aide David Jolly earlier this month while Democratic hopes rest on the shoulders of former state Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink.

Recent…

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

by Stuart Rothenberg January 31, 2014 · 9:52 AM EST

The 14th question of the Jan. 22-25 NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll produced a set of responses I didn’t expect.

The poll asked, “When it comes to reducing income inequality between the rich and the poor, do you want to see the government more involved than it…

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January

by Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2014 · 10:13 AM EST

Sometimes, it’s difficult to tell the difference between a real news story and something from The Onion.

Earlier reports that entertainer Clay Aiken was considering a run for the Democratic nomination in North Carolina’s 2nd District have been overtaken by new stories about the singer “putting together a…

The Real Reasons Recruits Don’t Run

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 23, 2014 · 9:52 AM EST

I hate candidate recruitment stories.

More specifically, I hate stories that seem to blame the party campaign committees for their inability to coerce candidates to run.

In reality, there are so many factors that the committees cannot control that it’s simply unfair to hold them responsible for…

Garcia is GOP Rising Star, But is She Going Too High Too Soon?

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 21, 2014 · 9:00 AM EST

Last summer, the Republican National Committee promoted Marilinda Garcia as one of the party’s Rising Stars. But her next challenge looks like winning a Republican primary for a seat in Congress.

Garcia was first elected to the New Hampshire state House in 2006, when she was 23 years…

To Special-Election Victors, a Short Stay in Congress

by Nathan L. Gonzales January 19, 2014 · 10:00 AM EST

Rep. Bill Owens’ retirement announcement brought back a flood of special-election memories. But one thing in particular stood out to me. For all the national attention that competitive special elections receive, winning candidates’ time in Washington is often relatively short.

Owens’ tenure, when he completes his term, is…

Minimal Change in the House

by Stuart Rothenberg January 17, 2014 · 3:00 PM EST

While a flurry of recent Republican retirements in competitive districts have created new Democratic prospects, the overall decline in President Barack Obama’s standing – and the improvement of Republican numbers in the “generic ballot” – suggests increased problems for Democrats in November.

Democrats need a renewed focus on…