Archive

Kentucky Senate Bluegrass Poll: Another Interpretation

by Stuart Rothenberg September 27, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

When asked about the new Bluegrass Poll, which showed Republican Rand Paul’s lead shrinking from 15 points in an early September survey to a mere two points in a new survey, SurveyUSA pollster Jay Leve commented, “Whether that is a result of genuine traction for (Conway), second thoughts about…

2010 Senate Overview (September 24, 2010)

September 24, 2010 · 5:20 PM EDT

The road to a gain of at least six Senate seats got a little bit easier for Republicans this week as multiple surveys show Wisconsin moving in the Republicans’ direction. In general, the Midwest is looking like a big, big problem for Democrats up and down the ballot. There may be few survivors in…

2010 House Overview (September 24, 2010)

September 24, 2010 · 5:18 PM EDT

From the White House to the DCCC, Democratic strategists argue that enthusiasm among the Democratic base will help save a number of seats now considered to be vulnerable. In response to the barrage of Republican polls showing GOP candidates in strong position, Democrats have released a select…

2010 House Ratings (September 24, 2010)

September 24, 2010 · 5:17 PM EDT

2010 Gubernatorial Overview (September 24, 2010)

September 24, 2010 · 5:16 PM EDT

Republicans continue to be well-positioned to make significant gains at the state level and are likely to pick up between 6 and 8 governorships. Here are some state-by-state updates. 

Hawaii Governor. Cong. Neil Abercrombie (D) handily defeated Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann in the Democratic…

State Waves Add to Democrats’ National Woes

by Stuart Rothenberg September 24, 2010 · 9:21 AM EDT

Everyone agrees a political wave will hit on Nov. 2, though Democrats and Republicans disagree on the size of it. Some see a “normal” political wave, while others expect a political tsunami.

Obviously, with reapportionment and redistricting on the schedule for 2011 and 2012, a huge Republican…

Handicapper Headache: What About Alaska?

by Stuart Rothenberg September 22, 2010 · 10:05 AM EDT

Can Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who was denied renomination by Alaska Republicans, win as a write-in candidate in November? Obviously, it’s a long shot, as is any write-in campaign, but is it impossible?

I start off skeptical, but I’m not sure.

For anyone who doesn’t know about Alaska politics,…

Is This an Anti-Incumbent Year? Not So Far

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 21, 2010 · 9:00 AM EDT

Countless stories and hours of cable television have been filled with analysis describing this year’s elections as tantamount to an anti-incumbent wave.

But as the primaries come to a close, it’s clear that instead of throwing the bums out, voters have let the vast majority of incumbents move…