Archive

House Overview: What’s In Play?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 15, 2011 · 9:34 AM EST

Aside from House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s (Calif.) prediction to ABC News back in early June that her party had “a very good chance of winning the House,” national Democrats have been cautious about predicting a takeover next November.

That’s the way it should be, of course, given that…

Is This the Ugliest Redistricting Cycle Ever?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 11, 2011 · 9:21 AM EST

Redistricting is always messy and partisan. But this redistricting cycle, which won’t be finished until sometime next year, is particularly ugly and hypocritical.

In Arizona, the governor, with the support of two-thirds of the state Senate, removed the chairman of her state’s redistricting…

For Bob McDonnell, VP Talk Won’t Go Away

by Stuart Rothenberg November 9, 2011 · 9:24 AM EST

If, as many Republicans hope and most GOP political operatives seem to expect, Virginia Republicans win enough seats tonight to take control of the state’s Senate, you will hear another round of talk about Gov. Bob McDonnell as a potential running mate for the Republican nominee in 2012.

A…

Hawaii Senate: Same Faces, Different Races

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 4, 2011 · 12:59 PM EDT

If Linda Lingle can’t win next year, it’s going to be a long time before Republicans ever get another senator from Hawaii.

A former two-term governor with a moderate image, Lingle gives Republicans a legitimate chance to win the open seat vacated by Sen. Daniel Akaka’s (D) retirement.

But…

California 52: It’s Always Sunny in Bilbray’s District

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 4, 2011 · 11:58 AM EDT

The forecast for California’s newly drawn 52nd District next year calls for perfect weather but a hot congressional race.

It’s easy for Cong. Brian Bilbray’s colleagues to be jealous of his San Diegoarea district. But a new set of congressional lines puts the GOP congressman in the unenviable…

Do the PPP Polls Mean Anything?

by Stuart Rothenberg November 4, 2011 · 11:57 AM EDT

A recent memo by Public Policy Polling Director Tom Jensen proclaimed that the firm’s recent batch of surveys “shows Democrats can take House in 2012.”

While it is too early to know whether the party will gain the 25 seats it needs for a majority, it’s pretty clear that the memo, which is based…

2012 House Ratings (November 4, 2011)

November 4, 2011 · 11:56 AM EDT

2012 Senate Ratings (November 4, 2011)

November 4, 2011 · 11:56 AM EDT

Maryland House: New Map Endangers Bartlett

November 4, 2011 · 11:54 AM EDT

Democrats passed a new congressional map that puts long-time Cong. Roscoe Bartlett’s (R) electoral career on life-support.

Early on it looked like Democrats would target freshman Cong. Andy Harris (R), but his Eastern Shore district looks safe. Meanwhile, Bartlett went from having a miniscule…