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Democrats Likely to Gain House Seats, but GOP Pick-ups Possible (House Overview, November 2, 2012)

November 2, 2012 · 3:29 PM EDT

As we wrote last week, the fight for the House looks very much over, but a closer examination of our ratings explains why.

Republicans start with 205 safe seats, putting them just 13 away from the 218 they need for a majority. Democrats, on the other hand, start with 162 safe seats. In order…

Presidential Race is Too Close to Call

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2012 · 3:28 PM EDT

National polling continues to show the presidential race extremely close, with neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney opening up any daylight in the race. That’s not good for the president, since most insiders doubt that he will get the majority of late-deciders.

But the race for the White House…

Republicans Set to Take Ground in Gubernatorial Races (Gubernatorial Overview, November 2, 2012)

November 2, 2012 · 3:27 PM EDT

This cycle, just 11 states are voting for a chief executive and just three of those states (Montana, New Hampshire, and Washington) are coming down to the wire. Incumbent Democrats not seeking re-election in all three states.. 

Republicans are already poised to win North Carolina, where former…

Coming Down to the End of the Line in 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg November 2, 2012 · 10:42 AM EDT

As Election Day approached in 2006, 2008 and 2010, I was reasonably confident about the kind of an election we would have, even if I wasn’t sure about the exact outcome. Four years ago at this time, for example, we all had a pretty good idea who the next president would be.

But this cycle, I am…

The Economy Is Crumbling So Let’s Talk Abortion and Rape

by Stuart Rothenberg October 31, 2012 · 9:34 AM EDT

The unemployment rate is still 7.8 percent, and the gross domestic product is growing at a sluggish 2 percent. Young people graduating college can’t find jobs and are living in their parents’ houses. Economies in Europe and Asia are weakening, suggesting additional problems in the year ahead for…

In California, Democrats tout one Hispanic candidate and ignore another

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 30, 2012 · 1:12 PM EDT

Jose and John Hernandez are both Democrats running for Congress in competitive districts in California with growing Latino populations, but the Democratic Party has embraced one of them and ignored the other.

National Democratic strategists are in love with Jose Hernandez and count the retired…