Rep. Mike Simpson looks like he’ll survive the epic establishment vs. anti-establishment struggle in the GOP primary in Idaho’s 2nd District. But if last cycle is any indication, the incumbents that lose primaries this year will be in low-profile races rather than high profile battles between…
The filing deadline in Florida has passed and Democrats are banking on a potentially attractive candidate, but an even more unconventional process, to take another shot at the 13th District.
Democrats recruited Colonel Ed Jany to run in the seat now being held by Republican Rep. David Jolly…
After interviewing more than 1,000 candidates for the House and Senate with my colleague, Stu Rothenberg, I’ve got a pretty good idea of what makes him tick and what just plain ticks him off.
Over the course of the past 25 years, Stu has garnered somewhat of a reputation of being a “hard”…
I’ve noticed with some alarm how many people fail to make reasonable distinctions among races that admittedly have some factors in common.
So let me make an important distinction: While Democratic Senate candidates Alison Lundergan Grimes, 35, and Michelle Nunn, 47, have difficult races ahead…
Democrats have attacked a trio of Republican Senate candidates for not being born in the states they seek to represent. While the issue could matter in a close race, there are four dozen senators who prove that birthplace isn’t necessarily a stumbling block to getting elected.
Just more than…
New York Rep. Michael Grimm’s arrest reminded me of one of my worst mistakes as a political handicapper.
In May 2006, the FBI raided Louisiana Rep. William Jefferson’s offices and home on suspicion of corruption. I assumed that since agents found $90,000 cash wrapped in aluminum foil in the…
With the Senate majority hanging in the balance, the Republican primary in North Carolina has gained national attention. But a handful of House primaries in the Tar Heel State are also important including open seats in safe districts, a long-time incumbent facing a challenge, and a former…
Republicans are retiring from competitive congressional districts but this might be the wrong cycle for Democrats to take advantage of the opportunities.
The latest Member to announce his retirement is GOP Rep. Tom Petri of Wisconsin’s 6th District. President Barack Obama won the district…
Reports of Arkansas Sen. Mark Pryor’s political death are greatly exaggerated, argue some Democratic operatives and more than a few journalists.
The only problem with that view is that Pryor’s obituary has not yet been written by any serious observer or handicapper. And while arguing over…
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