Archive
Primaries can be a painful winnowing process for political parties, but they help set the stage for significant general election races in the fall. And unlike Texas, Illinois doesn’t have a runoff provision, so we know the general election match-ups in key contests that will help decide the House…
Long-time Democratic Rep. Louise Slaughter died March 16, setting up a potential special election in New York’s 25th District.
The Rochester-based district is rated Solid Democratic, considering Hillary Clinton carried it by 16 points in 2016, while President Barack Obama did so by 19 points in…
Ohio’s 12th District Special Election - Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: Feb. 27, 2018
Date of Birth: April 28, 1968; Lansing, Mich.
Education: Air Force Academy (1990); UC San Diego (PhD in economics, 2001)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Kane is a…
Candidate for California’s 49th District - Rating: Toss-up
Interview Date: Feb. 7, 2018
Date of Birth: June 20, 1951; Billiot, Ill.
Education: Univ. of California-Irvine (1992)
Elected Office: State Board of Equalization, 4th District (2014-present); State Assembly (former 2008-14)
Current…
Idaho’s 1st - Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: Feb. 27, 2018
Date of Birth: March 9, 1962; Meridian, Idaho
Education: Boise State Univ. (Bachelor’s 1984, MBA 1988)
Elected Office: Iowa State Senate (first elected 2005)
Current Outlook: Fulcher switched from the gubernatorial race to…
Ohio’s 12th District Special Election - Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: March 5, 2018
Date of Birth: March 10, 1959; Louisa, Ky.
Education: Franklin Univ. (2000)
Elected Office: Franklin County Sheriff (appointed 2011, elected 2012)
Current Outlook: Scott is a credible contender for…
Candidate for California’s 39th District - Rating: Toss-up
Interview Date: Feb. 7, 2018
Date of Birth: Oct. 18, 1962; Seoul, South Korea
Education: Univ. of Southern California (1985)
Elected Office: California State Assembly (former, 2014-15)
Current Outlook: GOP Rep. Ed Royce’s retirement…
Seven and a half months before the midterm elections, the combination of attitudinal and behavioral evidence leads to a single conclusion: The Democrats are very likely to win control of the House in November.
Just as important, Republican and Democratic campaign strategists also agree that an…