Senate. Sherrod Brown (D) elected 2006 (56%), 2012 (51%). Rep. Jim Renacci won the GOP nomination in the least suspenseful Senate primary of the night, defeating investment banker Mike Gibbons 47-32 percent. Renacci was also the only GOP congressman to be victorious in a Senate primary last night,…
Senate. Joe Manchin (D) elected 2010 special (53%), 2012 (61%). Former coal company CEO Don Blankenship, who served a year in prison, enjoyed a few days in the national spotlight as a serious contender for the GOP nomination. But state Attorney General Patrick Morrisey prevailed with 35 percent…
2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%). Trump 53%. Former state personnel director/former state Rep. Linda Coleman won the Democratic nomination over tech entrepreneur Ken Romley and will face the incumbent Republican in the general election. The race has been included in the broadest…
Senate. Joe Donnelly (D) elected 2012 (50%). Former state Rep. Mike Braun defeated Reps. Luke Messer and Todd Rokita for the GOP nomination and the right to face the incumbent Democrat. Messer and Rokita were regarded as the initial frontrunners because they were better-known in Washington and in…
When this election cycle began, handicappers repeatedly pointed out that 10 Democratic Senate incumbents from states carried by Donald Trump would be on the ballot in 2018. That count was accurate, and the point behind it obvious — Republicans had a long list of opportunities.
But now even the…
The map of competitive Senate races has opened up to some unexpected places. One year ago, it seemed unlikely that we’d be discussing whether Democrats could win a Senate seat in Tennessee or Texas, let alone that the GOP would lose a seat in Alabama. But North Dakota has been on the map since the…
It’s dangerous to extrapolate too much from any single special election, but the trend is clear across nearly all of the special elections over the past year: Democrats are over-performing and Republicans are struggling to hold open seats.
Democrats’ over-performance hasn’t been limited by…
New Mexico’s 1st District — Rating: Solid Democratic
Interview Date: April 17, 2018
Date of Birth: Dec. 2, 1960; Winslow, Ariz.
Education: Univ. of New Mexico (1994, law school 2006)
Elected Office: None; 2014 nominee for lieutenant governor
Current Outlook: Haaland is a top contender for…
Nevada’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: March 13, 2018
Date of Birth: June 23, 1957; Mesquite, Nev.
Education: Dixie State Univ.
Elected Office: U.S. House (former, 2011-12); state Assembly (former); Mesquite city council (former)
Current Outlook: Even though Hardy…
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