Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement and successor have the potential to alter the balance of the Supreme Court for years, but it’s less clear whether his decision will fundamentally change the fight for the Senate majority in November.
At a minimum, the Supreme Court vacancy reinforces the…
ARIZONA. Open; Jeff Flake (R) not seeking re-election. Aug. 28 primary. This is one of the only competitive Senate races where the general election matchup isn’t set yet. Rep. Martha McSally, former state Sen. Kelli Ward (who challenged John McCain in the 2016 primary), and former Maricopa County…
MARYLAND. Ben Cardin (D) elected 2006 (54%), 2012 (56%). The Old Line State saw some anti-establishment energy in the June 26 primaries when Ben Jealous captured the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, but the senator cruised to victory, 81-6 percent, over former Army spy Chelsea Manning. GOP…
PENNSYLVANIA. Bob Casey Jr. (D) elected 2006 (59%), 2012 (54%). Trump won the state narrowly in 2016, but Casey isn’t acting particularly vulnerable and the race is on the outskirts of the discussion about the fight for the majority. Rep. Lou Barletta defeated state Rep. Jim Christiana 63-37…
You can explain away 10-term Rep. Joe Crowley’s loss in the Democratic primary to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez by pointing to demographic changes in the district or campaign missteps by the incumbent, but that obscures a larger trend. Similar to the dynamic in the Republican Party, the power of the…
Pennsylvania’s 8th District - Rating: Change to Lean Democratic
Interview Date: June 12, 2018
Date of Birth: May 15, 1963; Fountain Hill, Penn.
Education: Lehigh (1985 BA, 1986 BS); Columbia (MBA 1988)
Elected Office: None; First run for office.
Current Outlook: Matt Cartwright was first…
Minnesota Senate - Rating: Likely Democratic
Interview Date: May 22, 2018
Date of Birth: Oct. 3, 1961 (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)
Education: Harvard (1984); Yale (1987)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Painter is the underdog against Sen. Tina Smith in the Aug. 14…
Missouri’s 4th District — Rating: Solid Republican
Interview Date: June 14, 2018
Date of Birth: Sept. 6, 1989; Springfield, Missouri
Education: Univ. of Missouri (2011, current PHd student)
Elected Office: None; First run for office
Current Outlook: Any Democratic challenger would struggle in…
Virginia’s 5th District - Rating: Likely Republican
Interview Date: June 20, 2018
Date of Birth: March 17, 1970; Manassas, Va.
Education: Univ. of Virginia (1998)
Elected Office: None; Ran for governor in 2017
Current Outlook: Democrat Leslie Cockburn was set to face GOP Rep. Tom Garrett in…
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