Archive

Candidate Conversation - Cindy Axne (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:54 AM EDT

Iowa’s 3rd District — Rating: Tilt Republican

Interview Date: July 12, 2018

Date of Birth: April 20, 1965; Grand Rapids, Mich.

Education: Univ. of Iowa (1987); Northwestern’s Kellogg School of Business (MBA 2002)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: The digital design…

Candidate Conversation - Jared Golden (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:53 AM EDT

Maine’s 2nd District —Rating: Lean Republican

Interview Date: July 12, 2018

Date of Birth: July 25, 1982; Lewiston, Maine

Education: Bates College (2007); Univ. of Maine-Farmington (attended)

Elected Office: State House (elected 2014; re-elected 2016)

Current Outlook: Golden won a competitive…

Candidate Conversation - J.D. Scholten (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:52 AM EDT

Iowa’s 4th District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: July 27, 2018

Date of Birth: March 4, 1980; Ames, Iowa

Education: Univ. of Nebraska (2003); Morningside College (attended)

Elected Office: None; First run for office

Current Outlook: Rep. Steve King, who makes headlines for…

Candidate Conversation - TJ Cox (D)

August 31, 2018 · 10:51 AM EDT

California’s 21st District — Rating: Likely Republican

Interview Date: July 12, 2018

Date of Birth: July 18, 1963; Walnut Creek, Calif.

Education: Univ. of Nevada (1986); Southern Methodist Univ. (MBA 1999)

Elected Office: None; 19th District candidate (2006)

Current Outlook: Democrats…

A Congressional Candidate Plays Softball in an Ad, and I Have Lots of Questions

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 30, 2018 · 12:06 PM EDT

When I saw Ohio Democrat Aftab Pureval playing softball in a campaign ad, I felt like my years of election analysis and beer-league softball were finally coming together.

Pureval, the Hamilton County clerk of courts, is challenging Republican Rep. Steve Chabot in Ohio’s 1st District. He’s running…

Why We’re Not Changing the Rating in Duncan Hunter’s Seat, Yet

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 22, 2018 · 12:21 PM EDT

Whenever a member of Congress is indicted, it’s a good idea to take a long, hard look at their re-election chances. It’s also reasonable to believe their prospects for another term would be diminished and political handicappers would immediately downgrade their race. But it’s not so simple with GOP…

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): From Waves to Fires

by Nathan L. Gonzales August 17, 2018 · 2:30 PM EDT

This cycle, the wave analogy has been watered down and it’s time for a new metaphor: fire. More specifically, fires. 

Whether it’s GOP Members in Hillary Clinton districts, extraordinary Democratic challengers and fundraising, competitive open seats, or lazy incumbents, Republicans have dozens of…

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): Alaska - Iowa

August 17, 2018 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alaska. Aug. 21 primary.

At-Large (Don Young, R, re-elected 2016 with 50%). Trump 53%. Education reform activist Alyse Galvin is running for the Democratic nomination and might even be the frontrunner. In 2016, the Democratic nominee and an independent candidate combined for 39 percent. Young was…

2018 House Overview (Aug. 17, 2018): Kansas - New York

August 17, 2018 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas.

2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Trump 56%. Defense contractor Steve Watkins (who is also an Afghanistan war veteran and and former Iditarod dog sled racer) won the crowded Aug. 7 primary. The Topeka and Lawrence-based district voted for Trump but former state…